There are 50 telephone lines in an exchange. The probability that any one of them will be busy is 0.1, then the probability that all the lines are busy?
There are 50 telephone lines in an exchange. The probability that any one of them will be busy is 0.1, then the probability that all the lines are busy?
Solution
There are 50 telephone lines, and each line has a probability of 0.1 of being busy. The probability that all 50 lines are busy at the same time needs to be determined.
This is a binomial probability problem where each line can be either busy or not busy, with each line operating independently and the probability remaining constant at 0.1.
Given:
- Number of lines (n) = 50
- Probability of one line being busy (p) = 0.1
- All lines busy, so k = 50
When dealing with a large number of trials (50 lines) and a small probability (0.1), the Poisson approximation can be applied.
Calculate :
The Poisson probability formula is:
For and :
The probability that all lines are busy is
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