The probability that in a year of the 22nd century choosen at random, there will be 53 Sundays is:
The probability that in a year of the 22nd century choosen at random, there will be 53 Sundays is:
Solution
Every year guarantees 52 complete weeks (= 52 Sundays). The only question is whether the extra leftover days include a Sunday.
An ordinary year has 365 days = 52 weeks + 1 extra day.
A leap year has 366 days = 52 weeks + 2 extra days.
Since every year already has 52 Sundays, 53 Sundays occur only if at least one of the extra days is a Sunday.
In any century of 100 years:
An ordinary year has 1 extra day, which can be any one of: {Sun, Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu, Fri, Sat}
For 53 Sundays, that 1 extra day must be Sunday.
A leap year has 2 extra days, which are consecutive. The possible pairs are:
(Sun, Mon), (Mon, Tue), (Tue, Wed), (Wed, Thu), (Thu, Fri), (Fri, Sat), (Sat, Sun)
Out of 7 possible pairs, 2 pairs contain a Sunday → (Sun, Mon) and (Sat, Sun)
Using the Law of Total Probability:
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