Skip to main contentSkip to solution

The probability that in a year of the 22nd century choosen at random, there will be 53 Sundays is:

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 3

Every year guarantees 52 complete weeks (= 52 Sundays). The only question is whether the extra leftover days include a Sunday.

An ordinary year has 365 days = 52 weeks + 1 extra day.

A leap year has 366 days = 52 weeks + 2 extra days.

Since every year already has 52 Sundays, 53 Sundays occur only if at least one of the extra days is a Sunday.


In any century of 100 years:

Leap years=1004=25\text{Leap years} = \dfrac{100}{4} = 25

Ordinary years=100−25=75\text{Ordinary years} = 100 - 25 = 75


An ordinary year has 1 extra day, which can be any one of: {Sun, Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu, Fri, Sat}

For 53 Sundays, that 1 extra day must be Sunday.

P(53 Sundays | Ordinary Year)=17P(\text{53 Sundays | Ordinary Year}) = \dfrac{1}{7}


A leap year has 2 extra days, which are consecutive. The possible pairs are:

(Sun, Mon), (Mon, Tue), (Tue, Wed), (Wed, Thu), (Thu, Fri), (Fri, Sat), (Sat, Sun)

Out of 7 possible pairs, 2 pairs contain a Sunday → (Sun, Mon) and (Sat, Sun)

P(53 Sundays | Leap Year)=27P(\text{53 Sundays | Leap Year}) = \dfrac{2}{7}


Using the Law of Total Probability:

P(53 Sundays)=P(Ordinary)×P(53 Sun | Ordinary)+P(Leap)×P(53 Sun | Leap)P(\text{53 Sundays}) = P(\text{Ordinary}) \times P(\text{53 Sun | Ordinary}) + P(\text{Leap}) \times P(\text{53 Sun | Leap})

=75100×17+25100×27= \dfrac{75}{100} \times \dfrac{1}{7} + \dfrac{25}{100} \times \dfrac{2}{7}

=75700+50700= \dfrac{75}{700} + \dfrac{50}{700}

=125700= \dfrac{125}{700}

=528= \boxed{\dfrac{5}{28}}

Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Left arrow: Previous question
  • Right arrow: Next question
  • S key: Jump to solution
  • Q key: Jump to question