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Two persons A and B throw a die alternately till one of them gets a 'three' and wins the game. The probability of A's winning if A starts first is

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 1

When rolling a die:

Probability of getting a 3: 16\dfrac{1}{6}

Probability of not getting a 3: 56\dfrac{5}{6}


A can win in the following ways:

A wins on first turn (A rolls 3 immediately):

Probability =16= \dfrac{1}{6}

A wins on second turn (A fails, B fails, then A rolls 3):

Probability =56×56×16= \dfrac{5}{6} \times \dfrac{5}{6} \times \dfrac{1}{6}

=(56)2×16= \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^2 \times \dfrac{1}{6}

A wins on third turn (A fails, B fails, A fails, B fails, then A rolls 3):

Probability =(56)4×16= \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^4 \times \dfrac{1}{6}

This pattern continues indefinitely.


The total probability that A wins:

P(A wins)=16+(56)2×16+(56)4×16+(56)6×16+...P(\text{A wins}) = \dfrac{1}{6} + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^2 \times \dfrac{1}{6} + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^4 \times \dfrac{1}{6} + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^6 \times \dfrac{1}{6} + ...

Factoring out 16\dfrac{1}{6}:

P(A wins)=16[1+(56)2+(56)4+(56)6+...]P(\text{A wins}) = \dfrac{1}{6} \left[1 + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^2 + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^4 + \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^6 + ...\right]


The expression in brackets is an infinite geometric series with:

First term: a=1a = 1

Common ratio: r=(56)2=2536r = \left(\dfrac{5}{6}\right)^2 = \dfrac{25}{36}

Sum of infinite geometric series: a1−r\dfrac{a}{1-r}

=11−2536= \dfrac{1}{1 - \dfrac{25}{36}}

=11136= \dfrac{1}{\dfrac{11}{36}}

=3611= \dfrac{36}{11}


P(A wins)=16×3611P(\text{A wins}) = \dfrac{1}{6} \times \dfrac{36}{11}

=3666= \dfrac{36}{66}

=611= \dfrac{6}{11}

Therefore, the probability of A winning is 611\dfrac{6}{11}.

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