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'A' speaks the truth in 80% of the cases while 'B' in 90% of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other in stating the same statement is

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 2

A speaks the truth in 80% of cases, so A lies in 20% of cases.

B speaks the truth in 90% of cases, so B lies in 10% of cases.

P(A speaks truth) = 45\frac{4}{5}

P(A lies) = 15\frac{1}{5}

P(B speaks truth) = 910\frac{9}{10}

P(B lies) = 110\frac{1}{10}


A and B contradict each other when one speaks the truth and the other lies.

This happens in two cases:

  • A speaks truth and B lies
  • A lies and B speaks truth

For A speaks truth and B lies:

P(A speaks truth and B lies) = 45×110\frac{4}{5} \times \frac{1}{10}

=450= \frac{4}{50}


For A lies and B speaks truth:

P(A lies and B speaks truth) = 15×910\frac{1}{5} \times \frac{9}{10}

=950= \frac{9}{50}


Total probability of contradiction:

P(contradiction) = 450+950\frac{4}{50} + \frac{9}{50}

=1350= \frac{13}{50}

Therefore, the probability that they contradict each other is 1350\frac{13}{50}.

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