'A' speaks the truth in 80% of the cases while 'B' in 90% of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other in stating the same statement is
'A' speaks the truth in 80% of the cases while 'B' in 90% of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other in stating the same statement is
Solution
A speaks the truth in 80% of cases, so A lies in 20% of cases.
B speaks the truth in 90% of cases, so B lies in 10% of cases.
P(A speaks truth) =
P(A lies) =
P(B speaks truth) =
P(B lies) =
A and B contradict each other when one speaks the truth and the other lies.
This happens in two cases:
- A speaks truth and B lies
- A lies and B speaks truth
For A speaks truth and B lies:
P(A speaks truth and B lies) =
For A lies and B speaks truth:
P(A lies and B speaks truth) =
Total probability of contradiction:
P(contradiction) =
Therefore, the probability that they contradict each other is .
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