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Which of the following is not correct about the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)?

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 4

CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) represents the smooth, steady rate at which an investment would have grown each year to reach its final value. If an investment grows from ₹100 to ₹200 over 3 years with fluctuations, CAGR provides the equivalent constant annual growth rate.


Option 1 (Compare investment advisors) is correct. CAGR allows comparison between different advisors' portfolio performance. If Advisor A's portfolio grew at 12% CAGR and Advisor B's at 8% CAGR, the better performer is clear.


Option 2 (Compare stocks vs bonds vs savings accounts) is correct. CAGR enables comparison of completely different investments on the same scale. For example: Stock CAGR = 15%, Bond CAGR = 6%, Savings CAGR = 4%.


Option 3 (Track business performance) is correct. Companies use CAGR to track revenue growth, customer growth, and profit growth. This allows comparison between different companies' performance metrics.


Option 4 (Arithmetic mean calculation) is incorrect.

CAGR uses a geometric formula, not arithmetic mean:

CAGR =[Ending ValueBeginning Value]1/n−1= \left[\dfrac{\text{Ending Value}}{\text{Beginning Value}}\right]^{1/n} - 1

where nn = number of years


Example calculation:

Starting value: ₹100

Ending value: ₹200

Time: 3 years

CAGR =[200100]1/3−1= \left[\dfrac{200}{100}\right]^{1/3} - 1

CAGR =(2)0.333−1= (2)^{0.333} - 1

CAGR =1.26−1= 1.26 - 1

CAGR =0.26= 0.26 or 26%26\%


Arithmetic mean simply adds values and divides, which doesn't account for compounding.

For returns of +50%, -20%, +30%:

Arithmetic Mean =50+(−20)+303=603=20%= \dfrac{50 + (-20) + 30}{3} = \dfrac{60}{3} = 20\%

However, the actual growth path:

Year 1: ₹100 → ₹150 (50% growth)

Year 2: ₹150 → ₹120 (-20% decline)

Year 3: ₹120 → ₹156 (30% growth)

CAGR =[156100]1/3−1=15.7%= \left[\dfrac{156}{100}\right]^{1/3} - 1 = 15.7\%

The arithmetic mean of 20% doesn't reflect the actual compounded growth rate of 15.7%.


CAGR uses a geometric calculation with powers and roots to account for compounding effects, while arithmetic mean is a simple average. This distinction is crucial for accurately representing growth rates, especially with volatile returns.

Therefore, Option 4 is not correct about CAGR.

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