Which of the following is not correct about the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)?
Which of the following is not correct about the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)?
Solution
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) represents the smooth, steady rate at which an investment would have grown each year to reach its final value. If an investment grows from ₹100 to ₹200 over 3 years with fluctuations, CAGR provides the equivalent constant annual growth rate.
Option 1 (Compare investment advisors) is correct. CAGR allows comparison between different advisors' portfolio performance. If Advisor A's portfolio grew at 12% CAGR and Advisor B's at 8% CAGR, the better performer is clear.
Option 2 (Compare stocks vs bonds vs savings accounts) is correct. CAGR enables comparison of completely different investments on the same scale. For example: Stock CAGR = 15%, Bond CAGR = 6%, Savings CAGR = 4%.
Option 3 (Track business performance) is correct. Companies use CAGR to track revenue growth, customer growth, and profit growth. This allows comparison between different companies' performance metrics.
Option 4 (Arithmetic mean calculation) is incorrect.
CAGR uses a geometric formula, not arithmetic mean:
CAGR
where = number of years
Example calculation:
Starting value: ₹100
Ending value: ₹200
Time: 3 years
CAGR
CAGR
CAGR
CAGR or
Arithmetic mean simply adds values and divides, which doesn't account for compounding.
For returns of +50%, -20%, +30%:
Arithmetic Mean
However, the actual growth path:
Year 1: ₹100 → ₹150 (50% growth)
Year 2: ₹150 → ₹120 (-20% decline)
Year 3: ₹120 → ₹156 (30% growth)
CAGR
The arithmetic mean of 20% doesn't reflect the actual compounded growth rate of 15.7%.
CAGR uses a geometric calculation with powers and roots to account for compounding effects, while arithmetic mean is a simple average. This distinction is crucial for accurately representing growth rates, especially with volatile returns.
Therefore, Option 4 is not correct about CAGR.
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