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Consider the following data:

Year(xix_i)2004200520062007200820092010
Profit (₹ 000)(yiy_i)26264442108120166

Using method of least squares, the trend value for year 2004 will be

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 1

Shift the origin to 2007 so that X=−3,−2,…,3X = -3,-2,\dots,3.

Then ∑y=532\sum y = 532 giving a=76a = 76, and ∑XY=672\sum XY = 672 with ∑X2=28\sum X^2 = 28, giving b=24b = 24.

The trend line is y=76+24Xy = 76+24X; for 2004, X=−3X = -3, so the trend value is 76−72=476-72 = 4.

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