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If P(A)=35P(A) = \frac{3}{5}, P(B)=12P(B) = \frac{1}{2} and P(A∩B)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}, then P(A‾∣B‾)P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}) is

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 2

To find the conditional probability P(A‾∣B‾)P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}), we use the definition of conditional probability and De Morgan's Laws.

P(A‾∣B‾)=P(A‾∩B‾)P(B‾)P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}) = \frac{P(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B})}{P(\overline{B})}

Find the denominator P(B‾)P(\overline{B}):

The probability of the complement of BB is:

P(B‾)=1−P(B)P(\overline{B}) = 1 - P(B)

P(B‾)=1−12=12P(\overline{B}) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}

Find the numerator P(A‾∩B‾)P(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B}) using De Morgan's Law:

According to De Morgan's Law, A‾∩B‾=A∪B‾\overline{A} \cap \overline{B} = \overline{A \cup B}.

P(A‾∩B‾)=P(A∪B‾)=1−P(A∪B)P(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B}) = P(\overline{A \cup B}) = 1 - P(A \cup B)

First, calculate P(A∪B)P(A \cup B) using the Addition Rule:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

P(A∪B)=35+12−14P(A \cup B) = \frac{3}{5} + \frac{1}{2} - \frac{1}{4}

To solve, use a common denominator of 20:

P(A∪B)=1220+1020−520=1720P(A \cup B) = \frac{12}{20} + \frac{10}{20} - \frac{5}{20} = \frac{17}{20}

Now find the complement:

P(A‾∩B‾)=1−1720=320P(\overline{A} \cap \overline{B}) = 1 - \frac{17}{20} = \frac{3}{20}


Substitute the values back into the conditional probability formula:

P(A‾∣B‾)=3/201/2P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}) = \frac{3/20}{1/2}

P(A‾∣B‾)=320⋅21=620P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}) = \frac{3}{20} \cdot \frac{2}{1} = \frac{6}{20}

P(A‾∣B‾)=310P(\overline{A} | \overline{B}) = \frac{3}{10}

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