Events A1,A2,A3,...,An are independent with P(Ai)=i+11.
This gives:
- P(A1)=21
- P(A2)=31
- P(A3)=41
- And so on...
"None of the events occur" means A1 doesn't happen AND A2 doesn't happen AND A3 doesn't happen, etc.
In probability notation: P(A1∩A2∩A3∩...∩An)
Since the events are independent:
P(none occur)=P(A1)×P(A2)×P(A3)×...×P(An)
For each event, using the complement rule:
P(Ai)=1−P(Ai)
P(Ai)=1−i+11
P(Ai)=i+1i+1−1
P(Ai)=i+1i
This gives:
- P(A1)=21
- P(A2)=32
- P(A3)=43
- P(An)=n+1n
P(none occur)=21×32×43×54×...×n+1n
=2×3×4×5×...×(n+1)1×2×3×4×...×n
The 2 in the numerator cancels with 2 in the denominator, the 3 cancels with 3, the 4 with 4, and so on.
After cancellation, only 1 remains in the numerator and only (n+1) remains in the denominator.
=n+11
Therefore, the probability that none of the events occur is n+11.