In a game, a person is paid Rs. 2 if he gets all heads or all tails when three coins are tossed, and he will pay Rs. 2 if either one or two heads show. What can he expect to win on an average per game?
In a game, a person is paid Rs. 2 if he gets all heads or all tails when three coins are tossed, and he will pay Rs. 2 if either one or two heads show. What can he expect to win on an average per game?
Solution
When three coins are tossed, there are 8 possible outcomes.
The person wins Rs. 2 when all three coins show heads (HHH) or all three show tails (TTT).
The person loses Rs. 2 when exactly 1 head or exactly 2 heads appear.
The 8 possible outcomes are:
HHH - All heads → Win Rs. 2
HHT - 2 heads → Lose Rs. 2
HTH - 2 heads → Lose Rs. 2
THH - 2 heads → Lose Rs. 2
HTT - 1 head → Lose Rs. 2
THT - 1 head → Lose Rs. 2
TTH - 1 head → Lose Rs. 2
TTT - All tails → Win Rs. 2
Winning outcomes: 2 (HHH and TTT)
Losing outcomes: 6 (all others)
Probability of winning
Probability of losing
Expected Value
Expected Value
Expected Value
Expected Value
Expected Value
Expected Value
The expected value is Rs. per game.
The negative value indicates a loss of Rs. 1 on average per game.
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