An urn I contains 3 white and 4 blue balls, while urn II contains 5 white and 6 blue balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the urns and it is found to be white. The probability that it was drawn from urn II is
An urn I contains 3 white and 4 blue balls, while urn II contains 5 white and 6 blue balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the urns and it is found to be white. The probability that it was drawn from urn II is
Solution
Urn I contains 3 white and 4 blue balls (7 total).
Urn II contains 5 white and 6 blue balls (11 total).
One urn is chosen randomly and a white ball is drawn.
The probability of drawing white from Urn I:
The probability of drawing white from Urn II:
Since each urn is chosen with probability :
The total probability of drawing a white ball:
Using Bayes' theorem:
Therefore, the probability that the white ball was drawn from Urn II is .
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