An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its color is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the same color are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. The probability that the second drawn ball is red, is:
An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its color is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the same color are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. The probability that the second drawn ball is red, is:
Solution
The urn initially contains 5 red balls and 5 black balls, for a total of 10 balls.
A ball is drawn at random, its color is noted, and it is returned to the urn along with 2 additional balls of the same color. Then a second ball is drawn.
The probability that the second ball is red depends on the color of the first ball drawn.
If the first ball drawn is red:
Probability of drawing red first:
After returning the red ball and adding 2 more red balls, the urn contains:
- 7 red balls
- 5 black balls
- Total: 12 balls
Probability the second ball is red given the first was red:
If the first ball drawn is black:
Probability of drawing black first:
After returning the black ball and adding 2 more black balls, the urn contains:
- 5 red balls
- 7 black balls
- Total: 12 balls
Probability the second ball is red given the first was black:
Using the law of total probability:
Therefore, the probability that the second drawn ball is red is .
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