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CASE STUDY

In answering a question on a multiple choice test for class XII, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let 35\frac{3}{5} be the probability that he knows the answer and 25\frac{2}{5} be the probability that he guesses. Assume that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 13\frac{1}{3}. Let E1E_1, E2E_2, and E be the events that the student knows the answer, guesses the answer and answers correctly respectively. A student answers correctly if he/she knows the answer. Using the above information, answer the question:

The probability that a question is guessed by a student and found to be correct is.

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 2

P(E2∩E)=P(E2)⋅P(E/E2)=(2/5)(1/3)=2/15P(E_2 \cap E) = P(E_2) \cdot P(E/E_2) = (2/5)(1/3) = 2/15.

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