It is given that only 0.1% of a large population have COVID infection. In this population, the reliability of COVID RTPCR-test is specified as follows :
For persons having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. For persons not having COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as COVID positive.
It is given that only 0.1% of a large population have COVID infection. In this population, the reliability of COVID RTPCR-test is specified as follows :
For persons having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. For persons not having COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as COVID positive.
Based on the above informations, answer the question :
The probability that the person is actually having COVID given that he is tested as COVID positive is :
Solution
✅ Correct Option: 1
By Bayes: P(COVID∣positive)=0.010890.9×0.001=0.010890.0009=108990=12110.