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These days competitive examinations are held in online mode. During the examination student either guesses or copies or knows the answer of a multiple choice question (MCQ) with four choices each. The probability that a student makes guesses is 13\frac{1}{3} and that he/she copies 16\frac{1}{6}. The probability of marking answer correctly when he/she copied is 18\frac{1}{8} and probability of making answer correctly when he/she guesses is 14\frac{1}{4}. It is also assumed that a student marked answer correctly if he/she knows the answer.

By using the above mentioned information answer following question.

If answer is correct, the probability that he guesses, is :

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 1

P(Correct)=P(K)⋅1+P(G)⋅14+P(C)⋅18=12+112+148=24+4+148=2948P(\text{Correct}) = P(K) \cdot 1 + P(G) \cdot \frac{1}{4} + P(C) \cdot \frac{1}{8} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{12} + \frac{1}{48} = \frac{24+4+1}{48} = \frac{29}{48}. P(G/Correct)=P(G)P(Correct/G)P(Correct)=(1/3)(1/4)29/48=1/1229/48=429P(G/\text{Correct}) = \frac{P(G)P(\text{Correct}/G)}{P(\text{Correct})} = \frac{(1/3)(1/4)}{29/48} = \frac{1/12}{29/48} = \frac{4}{29}.

Note: None of the given options matches 429\frac{4}{29}. We have selected the closest available value based on standard interpretation.

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