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A speaks the truth in 70% of cases and B lies in 40% of cases. The probability that they will say the same thing while describing a single event (to have occurred or not) will be:

Solution

✅ Correct Option: 4

A speaks the truth in 70% of cases, so A lies in 30% of cases.

B lies in 40% of cases, so B speaks the truth in 60% of cases.

Therefore:

  • P(A tells truth) = 710\frac{7}{10}
  • P(A lies) = 310\frac{3}{10}
  • P(B tells truth) = 35\frac{3}{5}
  • P(B lies) = 25\frac{2}{5}

For A and B to say the same thing while describing a single event, either both tell the truth or both lie.


P(Both tell truth) = P(A tells truth) × P(B tells truth)

=710×35= \frac{7}{10} \times \frac{3}{5}

=2150= \frac{21}{50}


P(Both lie) = P(A lies) × P(B lies)

=310×25= \frac{3}{10} \times \frac{2}{5}

=650= \frac{6}{50}


P(They say the same thing) = P(Both tell truth) + P(Both lie)

=2150+650= \frac{21}{50} + \frac{6}{50}

=2750= \frac{27}{50}

Therefore, the probability that they will say the same thing is 2750\frac{27}{50}.

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