Solution
Option 1 -> Comparing autonomous receipts with accommodating receipts is not the correct criterion for determining BOP surplus.
Option 2 -> Accommodating transactions are meant to finance deficits or absorb surpluses; comparing accommodating receipts and payments does not determine BOP status.
Option 3 -> Technically, total receipts always equal total payments in BOP accounting due to double-entry bookkeeping, so this cannot determine surplus.
Option 4 -> When autonomous receipts (exports, foreign investments inflow, remittances) exceed autonomous payments (imports, investments outflow), it indicates a BOP surplus.
Hence, 4. autonomous receipts > autonomous payments -> A Balance of Payments surplus occurs when autonomous transactions (those undertaken for profit or economic motives, independent of BOP state) show receipts exceeding payments. This means the economy is earning more from its normal international transactions than it is spending. The excess is absorbed through accommodating transactions like an increase in foreign exchange reserves. Autonomous items are "above the line" items in BOP accounting, and their net balance determines whether there is a surplus or deficit -> correct